Ukraine reaches the highest point of the third wave of coronavirus incidence. The rate of spread is declining, and statistics on Covid-19 are rising due to the publication of older cases. The National Academy of Sciences (NAS) predicts that in the report released on April 7.
"The epidemic dynamics have continued to rise with new and fatal records being updated over the past week. At the same time, the rate of spread has been declining for two weeks now. The share of older cases is growing in daily published data. This means that the real rate of spread may be lower than those that are in official statistics," the message says.
According to scientists, these statements are supported by the number of positive PCR tests that does not increase, but showcases approaching the peak; the absolute number of PCR tests that began to decline; the dynamics of the number of positive tests that remains consistent with the number of new cases submitted on the date of testing.
"Therefore, it is likely that today, Ukraine is being at the beginning of the plateau phase, a very uncertain state that can last several weeks. Official statistics significantly depend on delays in the entring and processing of statistical information. Mortality depends on the capacity and provision of hospitals, so it is very difficult to predict," the NAS added.
As it was reported earlier, Ukraine occupies the first place among European countries on the daily growth of deaths from coronavirus.