There is a "low to medium" risk that Russia will invade Ukraine over the next few weeks, the top U.S. general in Europe said on Thursday, in the first such military assessment amid mounting concern about Russian troop movements toward Ukraine's borders. Reuters reported this.
Asked by a lawmaker on the Armed Services Committee to estimate the chances of an invasion in the next few weeks, Wolters said: "Low to medium."
Pressed by another lawmaker to explain whether that risk would change after that period, Wolters kept his cards close, saying: "The answer is, it depends."
If the current trajectory stayed the same, however, Wolters estimated the risk of an invasion could decrease.
"My sense is, with the trend that I see right now, that the likelihood of an occurrence will start to wane," he told Congress members.