What is an exit poll?
So, the election day is here. Ukraine is electing a president.
The voting is absolutely anonymous. While leaving the polling station, one may be approached by an interviewer an offered to fill in the form and to indicate one’s choice. The form is also anonymous, as well as the voting ballot, and one has the right to refuse to fill it.
First, exit polls are held to predict results of elections before they are officially published. Second, exit poll bears a control function – over 4.5% discrepancies between exit poll and the results by the election committee may indicate falsifications, though they are not the direct evidence of election engineering.
Three exit polls shall be held in Ukraine on the election day.
112 Ukraine TV channel and NewsOne TV channel are holding their own exit polls. The National exit poll is organized by Ukrainian Centre for Economic and Political Studies named after Olexander Razumkov, Ilko Kucheriv Democratic Initiatives Foundation, and Kyiv International Institute of Sociology. The third one will be held by 1+1 TV channel.
What are the peculiarities and differences of the exit polls?
112 Ukraine Exit Poll
112 Ukraine and NewsOne TV channels have launched their own exit poll. It is planned to question about 25,000 voters at 500 polling stations of Ukraine. The statistical deviations of the results of the exit poll will make 2,1% for the leaders of the rating and not more than 1,5% for other candidates.
The results will be announced during the telethon WHO?, which is going to start at 112 Ukraine TV channel today at 17:00. The preliminary results will be known after 20:00, the specified data will be announced after 22:00.
Austrian SORA Institute for Social Research and Consulting along with the Ukrainian Social Monitoring Center will hold the survey of the voter at the exit of the polling stations.
The National Exit Poll
The National exit poll is organized by the Ukrainian Centre for Economic and Political Studies named after Olexander Razumkov, Ilko Kucheriv Democratic Initiatives Foundation and Kyiv International Institute of Sociology. 400 polling stations and 17,000 voters are going to be interviewed.
The results as for 18:00 will be announced at 20:00 and the data as for the close of the polling stations will be announced at 23:00.
TSN Exit Poll
1+1 TV channel launched its own exit poll, which covers 600 polling stations. It is organized along with the Ukrainian and international companies, which names were not called.
The results of the exit poll will be announced right after the close of the polling stations at 20:00.