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Autumn Covid-19 wave peak incidence not yet over, - Kyiv School of Economics

Source : 112 Ukraine

For the second week in a row there is a decrease in the number of new cases in Ukraine
14:15, 23 November 2021

Open source

It is too early to say that the peak incidence of the autumn Covid-19 wave has passed in Ukraine, head of the Center for Health Economics of the Kyiv School of Economics Yuriy Hanychenko announced during a briefing.

According to him, for the second week in a row there is a decrease in the number of new cases, but to talk about the peak of the autumn wave of Covid-19 in Ukraine, we must observe a decrease of at least three weeks, so we can talk about it in a week.

"Ukraine is showing a decline in morbidity for the second week in a row, and then we will see hospitalizations, and this is a very good sign, but looking ahead, we are not saying that Ukraine has already completely passed this peak of the wave. Why? Because one of the reasons is that the recession lasts only the second week. And we at Kyiv School of Economics noted during the previous inclusions that it is necessary to have at least three weeks of recession to talk about the beginning of the exit from the wave. Even this beginning of the exit from the wave will not mean the final victory over this wave, as we see in the example of Europe," Hanychenko said.

Hanychenko added that today in Europe, which is currently in a Delta wave, the number of new cases of coronavirus is gradually increasing. Europe has already surpassed its absolute maximum historical values in terms of morbidity, and the number continues to grow.

"Europe's incidence is expected to rise to an all-time high among all continents, as demonstrated by North America earlier this year, and it is expected that Europe may already reach and exceed this all-time peak among all continents this week. That is, during the next inclusion we could already see a new absolute anti-record in the level of morbidity among the continents, and it will be in Europe," the head of the Center for Health Economics Kyiv School of Economics said.

According to him, European countries are showing repeated outbreaks today, and they are bigger than the previous waves within the Delta strain. Therefore, there is a repeated risk for Ukraine that after the current downturn and further stabilization, new growth may begin.

As it was reported earlier, 12,729 new cases of Covid-19 were detected on November 22, and another 720 people died in Ukraine.

It is noted that 3,304,058 cases of Covid-19 were found in Ukraine since the beginning of the pandemic. At the same time, 2,796,597 people (+23,107) have already recovered and were discharged from medical institutions. However, 82,318 (+720) patients died from complications caused by the infection.

Related: Covid-19 News: Mortality in Ukraine remains high, Germany struggling with rising infections level

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