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Western intelligence warns Ukraine about "high probability" of Russian invasion this winter, - FT

Source : 112 Ukraine

According to the representative of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, the conclusions of Western intelligence are based not only on information about the build-up of Russian troops at the border
20:28, 15 November 2021

Open source

Western intelligence services believe that Russia will try to destabilize the situation in Ukraine this winter, using military methods in particular, Financial Times reports.

According to Deputy Defense Minister Hanna Maliar, the conclusions of Western intelligence are based not only on information about the increase of Russian troops at the border, but also allegedly on their additional information about the intentions of the Russian leadership.

At the same time, she clarified that the interpretations of Western intelligence still "require further discussion", but clarified: they "emphasize the high probability of destabilization of the situation in Ukraine this winter."

Maliar also noted that the information of Ukraine's military intelligence "coincides" with the information of partner countries.

According to Kyrylo Budanov, Ukraine's chief of military intelligence, Russia has deployed up to 114,000 troops in the north, east and south near Ukraine and in the occupied territories, including about 92,000 ground troops.

He added that the concentration of Russian military equipment near the Ukrainian border could be seen either as preparation for a "large-scale invasion" or as an attempt at "psychological pressure."

Related: US Secretary of State, French Foreign Minister discuss Russia, Ukraine border situation

As it was reported by Bloomberg on November 11, the USA has warned its European partners about a possible Russian military operation against Ukraine. According to the agency, Washington's assessments are based on information that the American side has not yet shared with the EU. Officials familiar with the White House say this information is backed up by publicly available evidence.

The satellite photos taken by Western experts on November 2 confirmed reports that Russia is again concentrating troops and military hardware on the border with Ukraine. The images were taken by Colorado-based US space technology company Maxar Technologies, which handed them over to Politico.

Later Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine (NSDC) Secretary Oleksiy Danilov, in his turn, called this information “deliberate disinformation”.

On November 8 Bloomberg reported with reference to the Janes company report that Russia is moving tanks to the Ukrainian border. This time, observers noticed a battalion of T80-U tanks in the Voronezh region.

Related: Russia, Belarus should be excluded from international organizations, - Polish PM

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