The current wave of incidence with coronavirus in Ukraine will grow in Ukraine. At the beginning of October 2021, the number of newly infected persons will increase to 10,000 cases as the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine predicted.
Thus, the scientists of the academy used two models for predictions – the Facebook Prophet static model and SEIR_U compartmental model.
According to the predictive calculations, the average number of cases will equal 8,100 (SEIR_U), 8,326 (Facebook Prophet) during the week of September 29-October 5, 2021.
During the week of October 6-12, the average number will be 11,599 (SEIR_U), 10,002 (Facebook Prophet).
As we reported, today in Ukraine, the growth rate of Covid-19 incidence significantly exceeds the maxima achieved during the previous waves.
On September 27, it was reported that support hospitals in Kharkiv were 90% full. Some patients may be taken to regional hospitals.