The dynamics of the Covid-19 epidemic are almost the same in all countries, regardless of the severity of government measures. This was stated in the "Is there an exponential growth?" aricle written by Tel Aviv University professor Yitzhak Ben Israel, Israel News reports.
The scientist writes that in all countries the growth of the incidence rate increases in the first six weeks, and then stabilization and gradual decline begin, regardless of the start time and the severity of government restrictions on economic activity.
Moreover, in countries limited itselves by measures of social distance, the prohibition of mass events and hygiene (such as Sweden), the incidence curve does not fundamentally differ from countries whic are closing enterprises and “freezing” the economy.
"The graphs show that the incidence everywhere behaves the same - it grows, reaches a peak in the sixth week, and starting from the eighth week, it begins to fall rapidly. This happens in almost all countries where this disease is, almost regardless of the actions of their governments." says the scientist.
At the same time, the professor clarifies that closing the public space certainly helps to reduce the incidence, but it is important that even without these extremely expensive measures, the incidence begins to decline from the eighth week of the epidemic.