Analysts at the International Crisis Group believe that a full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine is unlikely, but this country is showing mixed signals about its intentions. This was reported by the press service of the International Crisis Group.
"Despite the Russian tanks being ferried toward the border, there appears to be little likelihood of an imminent resurgence of the bloody fighting that shook Donbas, a swathe of eastern Ukraine, in 2014 and 2015. Troop numbers and postures, although worrying, do not fit the template for an invasion," the message says.
ICG experts note that Russia insists that this troop movements are routine training exercises that threaten no one. However, Moscow's deployment of paratroopers to Crimea, annexed by Russia in 2014, and its establishment of a base camp at Voronezh, five hours’ drive from Ukraine’s eastern frontier, are not simple reshuffles.
The International Crisis Group does not yet have a clear answer to what the accumulation of Russian troops is. Russia is sending "mixed signals" so far.
As we reported earlier, Russia declared 10 employees of the U.S. Embassy in Moscow persona non grata. American diplomats should leave the territory of Russia until the end of the day, May 21.