The positive side. Zelensky confirmed the lack of alternatives to the Minsk agreements. The West did not allow them to be rewritten. And further negotiations are possible only within the framework of the “Set of Measures for the Implementation of the Minsk Agreements”, enshrined in the UN resolution.
The parties to the conflict agreed on:
- exchange of all-for-all captives until December 31, 2019;
- the withdrawal of troops in three new areas until March 2020;
- prolongation of the law on the local self-government in ORDLO;
- a complete ceasefire by the end of 2019 and ensuring the OSCE mission control of the entire regions that are not controlled by Ukraine within 24 hours;
- the implementation of the "Steinmeier formula" in Ukrainian law;
- the next meeting in Normandy format in four months.
The negative side. At a meeting in Paris, sides did not solve a single conceptual issue. They did not agree about:
- complete disengagement of troops;
- the procedure for holding elections in ORDLO and transferring control of the border to the Ukrainian authorities;
- a common understanding of the special status of Donbas;
- a common vision for the conduct of elections in Donbas;
That is, the war will continue. The political settlement did not take place, and the confrontation in the east of the country, as it is not offensive, will continue.
The main outcome of the meeting – the sides agreed to negotiate.
No decision has been made on the continuation of Russian gas transit through Ukraine to Europe. It is no coincidence that after the negotiations Prime Minister Honcharuk announced that Ukraine was preparing for a gas war. It seems that the main task that Zelensky set for himself at the aforementioned meeting was that protesters calm down. The consideration of the issue of land sales is ahead. And for the authorities it is important to remove the opposition’s resistance. Will they succeed?