Kremlin is preparing for full-scale war

Author : Oleksandr Turchynov

Source :

Speech of NSDC Secretary Oleksandr Turchynov at the opening ceremony of Kyiv-Mohyla Business School "Strategic Leadership: the Security and Defense Sector of Ukraine"
23:21, 25 April 2017

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Turchynov's press service

The Kremlin continues to prepare for a full-scale war that threatens not only Ukraine, but also other states of Central and Eastern Europe, and this can lead to the final loss of independence of the countries that are now in the Kremlin's orbit.

Thus, since July 1 this year, Putin's decree has increased the number of servicemen of the Russian Armed Forces to almost 1.9 million people. The recruitment was widened in selected military educational institutions of the Russian Federation, whose cadets are involved in conducting military operations in certain areas of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions. Near the state border of Ukraine, Russia has already deployed a ground group of the Armed Forces, which includes up to 50,000 servicemen, not mentioning the militants of the 1st and the 2nd army corps in the temporarily occupied territory of Donbas.

The command of the Russian Federation Armed Forces maintains the state of constant readiness to use the units of the North group deployed in the north of the occupied Crimea. On the peninsula there are offensive weapons, including missiles, which can carry nuclear warheads. Publicly announced increase in the number of the 1st and 2nd army corps of the occupied Donbas is continuing - from 35 to 50 thousand people. A loud information campaign is launched to recruit personnel, and according to experts, it should mask the transfer of regular military personnel and mercenaries from Russia to Donbas.

Three new divisions are deployed along the border with Ukraine. These are the 3rd, the 144th and the 150th, which are linked as part of three additional armies deployed in recent years - the 1st Guards Tank Army, the 20th and the 8th Combined Arms Armies. Such a powerful military grouping has extremely offensive character.

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If Moscow makes a political decision to expand the scale of armed aggression against Ukraine, the 1st and 2nd Army Corps will conduct offensive operations after their regrouping and reinforcement by Russian regular troops.

Russian units stationed near the state border are capable of invading the territory of our state within 2-3 hours. Military-industrial complex (MIC) of Russia also made some reparations for war.

The Russian MIC started working with a tight schedule, some of the enterprises work in a three-shift regime to fulfill the orders from the Ministry of Defense of Russia, and enterprises that were not previously part of the Russian military complex are now involved.

The military-political leadership of the Russian Federation pays attention to measures to increase the combat readiness of the military units, and such measures continue almost uninterruptedly. Combat training activities are carried out on an ongoing basis on all the military landfills from Kaliningrad to Vladivostok.

Only during March-April this year a number of command and staff exercises were held in the Western Military District, in which were involved up to 45,000 servicemen. They worked out the tactical methods of capture-deterrence, the formation of strike groups for surrounding enemy forces. Measures to increase the mobilization readiness of the forces and public authorities are also being taken on an ongoing basis.

To transfer personnel, weapons and military equipment of the Russian Armed Forces over long distances, the Ministry of Transport and Russian Railways purchase an additional 30 thousand universal platforms.

Particular importance is given to the preparation and conducting of the West-2017 strategic command military training in the Western Military District in Belarus and the Kaliningrad region in close proximity to Ukraine with the participation of 100,000 troops.

According to experts, the ultimate goal of these exercises is to test the readiness of Russian troops to conduct operations from regional to large-scale limited wars in condition of reducing the time for their strategic training. During their preparations for the active phase of West-2017 scheduled for September this year, one cannot exclude the Russian side conducting hidden preparations for a strategic offensive operation.

There are serious reasons to believe that after the active phase of the exercises, the Russian military contingent may remain in Belarus.

Related: ‘Head of DNR military intelligence’: Moscow responsible for MH17 tragedy,- media

Related: Donbas conflict: Militants shell ATO positions 21 times

Related: Militants shell residential areas and control post of State Border Guard in Marinka



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