Read original article at 112.ua
Thomas Graham (USA) is rightly considered one of the best experts on Russia and US-Russian relations. Currently, Graham is the managing director in, perhaps, the most prestigious consulting company Kissinger Associates Inc. Earlier, he worked as director on Russia’s affairs for the National Security Council and was a special assistant to President George W. Bush on policy issues for Russia. In the 80s - 90s he worked at the American Embassy in Moscow. He also speaks Russian well.
Graham, as well as his famous boss Kissinger, is the representative of the so-called "realist school" in American foreign policy.
It is interesting to see what the essence of Graham's views on US-Russian relations is. In short, they could be briefed to the following:
1. Russia will never be a democracy. This must be recognized as an inevitable thing, accepted and we should not to try to impose democratic principles on Russia. This will not be successful, but will only lead to deterioration in relations.
2. In the long term, Russia will remain a global player, whose interests the US will have to take into account in its policy.
3. The long-term strength of Russia is based on a vast territory, large reserves of minerals, highly developed science and a huge nuclear arsenal.
4. The reason for the bad US-Russian relations is not Putin, but Russia itself.
5. Sanctions against Russia are not effective means of solving problems. They will not be able to change Russia's policy. Sanctions are not a policy, but a bankruptcy of a previous policy.
6. The United States will not be able to isolate Russia, because China and India will never agree to this.
7. The United States needs to recognize the interests of Russia and learn to seek compromises with it.
8. The US should not strongly accuse Russia of interfering in the electoral process in the US, because US itself intervenes in similar processes in other countries.
Graham's point of view on the Ukrainian question is interesting. The US should insist on restoring the territorial integrity of Ukraine, but - be prepared to give Russia guarantees of Ukraine's non-entry into NATO.
As a commentary, I want to add that Thomas Graham, G. Kissinger, the recently departed Brzezinski and others are geopolitics who already recognize the fact that the US has lost global leadership, and foreign policy needs to be adjusted accordingly. World experience, however, shows that no hegemon can abandon his dominant policy until it suffers a humiliating military defeat, which will fix the new status quo. This event can now be the conflict between the US and the DPRK and China behind it.