“Together we are going to win the parliamentary elections! Together we will return to Bankova Street (where Ukraine’s presidential administration is situated, - ed.) after the next presidential elections,” said President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko at a meeting with his supporters on April 22. According to 112.ua sources in the pro-presidential political force, the head of state has nothing against the early parliamentary elections. But what would be the renewed “Poroshenko's army?”
“We have lost the battle, not the war”
With these words, the current head of state met his predicted defeat in the presidential election. It became obvious that in spite of the result, he did not say his last word in politics and always wants to return to the top league of national politics. A question – how? And most importantly – with whom?
On the evening of April 23, Poroshenko met with members of his faction. According to parliamentarians from the pro-presidential political force, most of the MPs came to the meeting with the head of state, as well as Prime Minister Volodymyr Groysman, members of the government (from the party quota), and Prosecutor General Yuriy Lutsenko.
“The MPs expected that there would be a blamestorming session, but this did not happen. Poroshenko did not name the guilty ones. He said: I understand that everyone has a different situation, I understand that we’ve started with 6%, and not 18% of the rating,” our sources from Bloc of Petro Poroshenko faction said.
According to our interlocutors, Poroshenko declared the need for a radical reformatting in the pro-presidential political force and added that in order to get on the list of Poroshenko’s force, it would be necessary to pass the primaries.
It remains unclear, who to become Zelensky’s associates in the parliament. Prime Minister Volodymyr Groysman, who attended Poroshenko’s meeting with Bloc of Petro Poroshenko, made it clear that he would participate in the campaign independently, and this news upset the head of state.
A number of other influential supporters of the current head of state are interested in law enforcement agencies. On April 22, Prosecutor General’s office has published the agenda of the ex-head of the Presidential Administration Borys Lozhkin, current deputy head of the Presidential Administration Oleksiy Filatov and ex-chairman of the National Bank Valeria Gontareva about a call to hand suspicions and interrogation on the so-called “Kurchenko case.” And the first deputy head of the BPP faction, Igor Kononenko, is regularly called in for questioning by the National Anti-Corruption Bureau (NABU). Our sources in law enforcement agencies say that the new domineering team is set to seriously take on Poroshenko’s individual comrades.
In addition, the parliamentary faction of the Bloc of Petro Poroshenko seems to be “losing weight” in the near future. And personal “blamestorming session” with the single-mandate MPs, responsible for the campaign of the head of state in the districts might take place.
Poroshenko himself, speaking of the parliamentary perspectives of his political force, called for “creating the broadest possible coalition of democratic forces in the new parliament.” Bloc of Petro Poroshenko faction plans to meet at the Congress immediately after the inauguration of Volodymyr Zelensky. There it is planned to present a new face of political power. It is likely that the list of the updated Poroshenko’s party would include young reformers who worked in state bodies during Poroshenko’s presidency.
In anticipation of the dissolution of the parliament
Ukrainian MPs have been actively discussing the possibility of early termination of the powers due to the lack of a coalition. Legitimate early dissolution would be done through the decision of Kyiv District Administrative Court. Recall that on March 6, 2019, this court decided to seek information about the composition of the coalition.
This idea was renewed after Zelensky was elected a president. His political adviser Dmytro Razumkov confirmed that the team of the future head of state is interested in early parliamentary elections.
The team of the president of Petro Poroshenko has nothing against the re-election.
“Poroshenko made it clear that he is not against early elections. He said it would be beneficial for us, but let's wait,” 112.ua sources, who attended the meeting of the pro-presidential faction, say. According to a study by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology, if parliamentary elections were held in April, Bloc of Petro Poroshenko would receive about 14% of the votes on party lists, not taking into account the majority vote. The interlocutors believe that the early elections will allow us to fix the current result and to hold a fraction of the last largest in the new parliament.
Officially, the faction denies it. The partner of the pro-presidential National Front faction, in particular, parliament speaker Andriy Parubiy, also comes out against re-election.
“The Verkhovna Rada will go to the next elections in October, as stipulated in the Constitution ... Any attempts to dissolve parliament at this time are harmful and illegal,” Maksym Burbak, one of the associates of ex-PM Arseniy Yatsenyuk, voiced a joint statement of Poroshenko’s and National Front factions.
However, supporters of re-elections are not going to back down. MP Valeriy Pysarenko, who is considered close to Andriy Portnov, the former deputy head of the presidential administration, initiated collecting of signatures for considering the question of the resignation of parliament speaker Andrei Parubiy. However, so far, from 100 to 125 MPs are ready to support this initiative. It is not enough even to put the corresponding draft resolution on the agenda.
Moreover, chairman of the District Administrative Court Pavlo Vovk gave a political comment, saying that the newly elected President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky has an opportunity to dissolve the parliament until June 16.