Army, Tomos, and wage growth vs. blockchain, new course and the Chancery Republic. The incumbent President Petro Poroshenko and former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko, who are currently seen as the main candidates for the second round of presidential elections, have launched a public election campaign
Petro Poroshenko: It has barely begun
Petro Poroshenko has entered the autumn phase of the presidential election campaign as a catch-up candidate. According to the results of "Social Monitoring" and the Ukrainian Institute of Social Studies named after O. Yaremenko, the incumbent head of state would have taken the third place among the voters who decided on a choice if the presidential elections were held in September.
To remedy this situation, Poroshenko's team decided to bet on the verified, previously used messages. September 20, the President has delivered his annual address to the deputies. Traditional theses were voiced from the parliamentary rostrum; they would be repeated during the election campaign: "hard-won visa-free regime," "creating a battle-worthy army," and "sustainable, albeit insufficient economic growth."
Well, do not forget about the Ukrainian version of the American dream – the Euro-Atlantic course, which will now be enshrined in the Constitution. The message of the president's team is simple: we have received a visa-free regime, and soon we will join NATO and the EU. Poroshenko himself said that he dreams of joining the EU until 2030. This could be interpreted as if you vote for me, I will bring you to the European Union.
Of course, one more hope of the headquarters of the head of state is autocephaly for the Ukrainian church. President’s PR managers plan to add some additional 8% of the vote on the issue of receiving a Tomos about autocephaly.
Poroshenko supported the initiative, voiced by the leader of the National Front faction Maksym Burbak about the need to adopt a bill on the registration of foreign agents. It is worth noting that the rule on the registration of foreign agents was present in the laws adopted on January 16, 2014, then they were called “dictatorial laws of Yanukovych.” Unlike the law proposed by the Party of Regions, Burbak proposes to oblige foreign media to register as media.
"This is trash!" – this is how several deputies from the Euro-Optimists group reacted to the initiative of the head of state, noting that the law potentially opens the possibility to close such resources by the decision of the National Security and Defense Council, and this means strengthening control over the information space.
In general, according to 112.ua sources in the headquarters of the head of state, the mood has improved significantly compared to the beginning of the year, and the staff officers are counting on success, believing that Poroshenko would be able to repeat Leonid Kuchma's take-off during the 1999 elections. Then Kuchma, having 6% support at first, ultimately won. According to our interlocutors, the technologists of the president expect to break off the gap from Yulia Tymoshenko at the expense of further salary increases.
Also, with the approach of autumn, people started talking about changes in the governor's team. According to the media, Olexandr Horhan might lose his chair of the Kyiv regional state administration. His successor might become the ex-chief of the Kyiv police Olexandr Tereshchuk. Unofficially, Horhan is associated with the "The Will of the People" group.
Poroshenko also helped update the Central Election Commission; thus the head of state has received a loyal majority, parliamentarians say.
The team of the incumbent president continues to put chief competitor, former PM Yulia Tymoshenko, in the pro-Russian swamp, promising new incidents of compromising information about her contacts with the Russian political circles. In particular, not so long ago, one of the sponsors of Batkivshchuna (Tymoshenko’s party) ex-MP Kostiantyn Bondarev was detained at the "Boryspil" airport. Prior to this, the tax authorities had some questions to another ally of Timoshenko, Olexandr Abdullin.
Yulia Tymoshenko: with the shield or on the shield
According to all polls, ex-Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko is the leader of the presidential race. She won the hearts of voters by raising blockchain and IT printers issues, promising affordable loans and a de-colonization of the economy. 400 pages of her "New Course" promise minimal inflation, a stable hryvnia, as well as a way to reduce the share of the shadow economy.
According to 112.ua sources at Tymoshenko's headquarters, her team expects to expand its own electoral core at the expense of intelligentsia and teachers. The interlocutors insist that the new economic course is a serious thing.
According to sources 112.ua in Batkivshchuna, in September, the former PM has beaten Poroshenko by 7%. Tymoshenko's team notes that the responses to her economic program are positive.
However, closer to the elections, they plan to conduct traditional trips to the regions, with an emphasis on the traditionally strong for Tymoshenko issues – utility tariffs and living standards.
In the meantime, politicians expect the Tymoshenko’s staff to be strengthened at the expense of some of the National Front deputies who were formerly members of the Fatherland. Talks about the return of some people's deputies from National Front to the former party continue. But the situation with the current secretary of the National Security and Defense Council Olexandr Turchynov is ambiguous. According to one of the versions, they are preparing a majority district in the elections to the parliament for him, and according to the other, he may return to Tymoshenko’s team if he fulfills a number of conditions, including financial ones.
Speaking about the prospects of the election campaign, Tymoshenko’s team hopes that Poroshenko will come to an agreement on the terms of surrender even before the winter, in case the polls continue to be not in his favor.
It seems that the headquarters of Tymoshenko engaged in counter-action in response to accusations of opponents in the pro-Russian sympathies. For example, in response to accusations of the MP from the Bloc of Petro Poroshenko, Ivan Melnychuk, who asked why Tymoshenko's “beloved son-in-law several times visited Moscow and what he was talking about with Putin's emissaries,” the former prime minister and her entourage noted that "even Yanukovych did not allow himself anything similar." And then answered with billboards on support the course on Euro-Atlantic integration.
Read the original text at 112.ua.